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ECONOMIC AND MARKET CONDITIONS
AFFECTING OUR OPERATIONS
A variety of market conditions in both the U.S. and global
economies influenced demand and pricing for our products and
affected our operating results in 2007. Those market conditions
included the following:
• The U.S. economy grew 2.2 percent in 2007.
• The U.S. Federal Reserve took measures to lower short-term
interest rates 0.4 percent over the course of 2007.
• Single-family housing starts fell from 1.47 million units in
2006 to 1.04 million units in 2007.
• The U.S. dollar continued its decline in value against the euro
and Canadian dollar.
• The global economy continued to grow at a healthy rate,
primarily due to strong growth in Asia.
• Increased containerboard capacity in Asia continued to result
in increased exports of old corrugated containers (OCC) from
the U.S.
HOW ECONOMIC AND MARKET CONDITIONS
AFFECTED OUR OPERATIONS
Major effects that economic and market conditions had on our
operations in 2007 included:
• Consumption of softwood market pulp increased by an estimated
1 percent.
• Shipments of packaging fell 1.2 percent despite 1.1 percent
growth in nondurable goods production.
• Sales of new and existing homes fell sharply in 2007 leading
to further decline in single-family starts.
• Consumption of lumber and structural panels fell due to
lower levels of homebuilding and repair and remodeling.
• In turn, lumber and oriented strand board (OSB) prices fell.
• Log prices fell throughout the year, following declines in wood
product prices.
Favorable Conditions for U.S. Market Pulp Producers in 2007
Market pulp prices rose 17 percent in 2007 due to:
• Higher fiber costs in Europe and Canada;
• Weaker U.S. dollar versus the euro and Canadian dollar; and
• Strong demand for fluff pulp, especially in Asia.
Industry Box Shipments Decreased in 2007
Industry shipments of boxes fell 1.2 percent in 2007. The
containerboard industry’s operating rate was approximately 96
percent in 2007 but decreased slightly from an industry operating
rate of 97 percent in 2006. The price of containerboard
increased slightly due to the high operating rate and low
inventories through the year.
Home Sales and Single-Family Starts
Decreased
Tighter lending standards and high inventories of homes available
for sale led to a sharp drop in new homes sales and
single-family starts.
Lumber, Structural Panel and Engineered
Wood Product Consumption Decreased in 2007
• As single-family home starts decreased further from the
2005 peak, demand for lumber, structural panels and
engineered wood products decreased in 2007.
• The decrease in demand for wood products has resulted in a
decrease in product prices.
Domestic Log Prices Lagged the Decline in
Wood Products Prices in 2007
• Log prices typically follow product prices, but with a lag that
varies by region. The lag for Southern log prices is longer
than in the Western U.S. markets.
• Domestic log prices in the Western U.S. decreased 9 percent
in 2007 compared with 2006.
• Demand for export logs and the weaker U.S. dollar contributed
to higher prices for export logs compared with
domestic sales.
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